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A ranar Talata, 30 ga Disamba, 2025, sojojin Saudi Arabia sun kai harin bama-bamai mai tsanani a birnin Mukalla, babban birnin lardin Hadhramaut a gabar tekun Yemen. Wannan harin, wanda Saudi ta ce an kai shi ne kan wani wurin jigilar makamai na ‘yan awaren kungiyar ‘National Shield Forces’, ya zama wani sabon juzu’i a cikin rikicin Yemen da ya dade.
Amma, don fahimtar ainihin abin da ke faruwa, ya kamata mu fahimci cewa harin bai zo ba ne kwatsam. Mukalla, birni mai muhimmanci a tattalin arzikin Yemen saboda tashar jiragen ruwa da hanyoyin kasuwanci, ta kasance cikin rikicin ikon tsakanin kungiyoyi daban-daban tun bayan rugujewar gwamnatin Yemen. A baya, ‘yan awaren ‘National Shield Forces’ sun kasance abokan tarayya na Saudi Arabia da Hadaddiyar Daular Larabawa (UAE) a yakin neman murkushe ‘yan tawayen Houthi. Sai dai daga baya, alakar ta yi tsami, inda UAE ta ja baya, sannan kuma wasu daga cikin ‘yan awaren suka fara neman ‘yancin kai ko kuma suka karkata ga wasu bangarori.
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A yanzu, Saudi Arabia tana ikirarin cewa wadannan tsoffin abokan tarayyarta ne ke jigilar makamai da ake amfani da su wajen tayar da kayar bayan kai da kuma kwace iko a yankunan kudancin Yemen, musamman ma lardunan Aden da Abyan. Wannan shi ne dalilin da ya sa ta kai harin. To, me ya sa Saudi ke damu da kwace iko a kudancin Yemen? Akwai dalilai biyu masu muhimmanci: Na farko, kowane bangare da ya sami iko a kudancin Yemen zai iya sarrafa tekun Bab al-Mandab, wata muhimmiyar hanyar jigilar man fetur da kayayyaki a duniya. Na biyu, Saudi Arabia tana kokarin kafa gwamnatin shiga tsakani a Yemen wacce ba za ta yi karo da bukatunta ba, don haka duk wani karfin da ke kokarin samun ‘yancin kai ko kuma hada kai da Houthi, sai ta yi masa barazana.
Mai ban mamaki, Hadaddiyar Daular Larabawa (UAE) ba ta bayyana ko ta yi Allah wadai da wannan harin ba. Wannan ya nuna cewa akwai bambancin ra’ayi ko manufa tsakanin abokan tarayya biyu nan a Yemen. UAE tana da hannu a yankunan gabar teku na Yemen, kuma tana son kare harkokin kasuwancinta da tasirinta a can. Wataƙila ba ta son cimma matsaya da za ta ƙara dagula al’ummar yankin ko kuma ta haifar da wani sabon rikici da za ya shafi kasuwancinta.
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Ga misali dalla-dalla: A shekarar 2018, sojojin UAE da ‘yan awarensu suka kwace birnin Aden daga hannun gwamnatin Yemen da Saudi Arabia ke goyon baya. Wannan ya nuna cewa rikicin Yemen ba wai kawai Saudi da Houthi ba ne, har da rikicin ikon tsakanin abokan tarayya kansa. Harin na yau a Mukalla ya zama wata hanya ta nuna wariya ga duk wani karfin da ke kokarin karya tsarin mulki da Saudi ke son kafa.
Tasirin wannan harin zai yi yawa. Na farko, zai kara dagula rayuwar al’ummar Mukalla da ke fama da matsalolin tsaro da tattalin arziki tun shekaru. Na biyu, zai kara raunana ikon ‘yan awaren da ke adawa da Houthi a yankin, wanda zai iya ba wa ‘yan tawayen Houthi damar kara fadada ikonsu. Na uku, yana iya zama wani sabon fage na rikici tsakanin kungiyoyin ‘yan aware a kudancin Yemen, inda kowanne bangare zai nemi kariya daga ko wane bangare na kasashen waje.
A karshe, harin bama-bamai na Saudi Arabia a Mukalla bai wuce harin jirgi ba. Yana nuna cewa rikicin Yemen ya koma wani sabon salo, inda yakin da ake yi ba a kai wa ‘yan tawayen Houthi kawai ba, har ma da tsoffin abokan tarayya da suka fara neman hanya dabam. Yana nuna kuma cewa burin kasashen Larabawa a Yemen, musamman Saudi Arabia da UAE, sun fara saba wa juna, wanda hakan na iya kara tsawaita wannan rikici mai cike da wahala ga al’ummar Yemen.
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