Bankin Duniya Ya Ce Najeriya Na Bukatar Girman Tattalin Arziki Ninki Biyar Don Kaiwa Tattalin Arzikin Dala Tiriliyan 1 Nan 2030

Zuba Jari Masu zaman kansu da Dabarun Sayar da Kayayyaki Waje Mabuɗin Cimma Manufa

Bankin Duniya ya yi gargadin cewa tattalin arzikin Najeriya na bukatar ya girma ninki biyar fiye da yadda yake a yanzu don cimma manufar gwamnati na GDP na dala tiriliyan 1 nan shekara ta 2030. Bankin ya jaddada bukatar zuba jari masu zaman kansu, zuba jari na kasashen waje (FDIs), da kuma dabarun ci gaba mai dogaro da sayar da kayayyaki wajen rufe wannan gibi.

Alex Sienaert, Babban Masanin Tattalin Arziki na Bankin Duniya a Najeriya, ya gabatar da wadannan binciken a lokacin kaddamar da Rahoton Ci gaban Najeriya (NDU) a Abuja. Yayin da ya amince da kyakkyawan hangen nesa na tattalin arzikin Najeriya, ya jaddada cewa girman da ake samu a yanzu bai kai abin da ake bukata ba.

Misalin Indonesia: Abubuwan da Najeriya Za Ta Koya

Sienaert ya kwatanta Najeriya da Indonesia, wadda ta zarce alamar GDP na dala tiriliyan 1 sama da shekaru goma da suka wuce. Kasashen biyu suna da kamanceceniya a matsayin kasashe masu tasowa waɗanda suka aiwatar da gyare-gyaren tallafi. Indonesia ta yi nasarar rage nauyin tallafin man fetur na dala biliyan 14 a shekara ta 2005, kamar yadda Najeriya ta cire tallafin man fetur da na harkokin kudi (FX) kwanan nan.

“Dole ne kamfanoni masu zaman kansu su shiga,” in ji Sienaert. “Dole ne su zuba jari da yawa; yana da amfani a sami zuba jari daga kasashen waje, kuma yana da amfani a sami sayar da kayayyaki zuwa kasashen waje domin ku iya shiga manyan kasuwanni.”

Damuwa Game da Kasafin Kudi da Hasashen Kudaden Shiga

Bankin Duniya ya nuna shakku game da kasafin kudin Najeriya na shekara ta 2025, inda ya bayyana shi a matsayin “mai matukar buri.” Sienaert ya yi tambaya game da wasu zato na yau da kullun, ciki har da:

• Manufar samar da man fetur na barel miliyan 2.1 a kowace rana (yawan da ake samu a yanzu: ~1.6 miliyan)
• Hasashen farashin man fetur na $75 a kowace barel (farashin Brent na yanzu: $65.14)

Manufofin Kudi da Kalubalen Farashin Kayayyaki

Taimur Samad, Mukaddashin Daraktan Bankin Duniya a Najeriya, ya yi gargadin cewa duk da cewa yanayin tattalin arziki yana inganta, farashin kayayyaki har yanzu yana da “tsayi kuma mai tsayin daka” a kashi 24.23% (Maris 2025). Ya bukaci Babban Bankin Najeriya (CBN) da ci gaba da manufofin kudi masu tsauri, inda ya yi hasashen cewa farashin kayayyaki na iya kaiwa matsakaicin kashi 22% a shekara ta 2025 idan aka ci gaba da matakan da suka gabata.

CBN ta kara yawan ribar manufa zuwa kashi 27.5% tun lokacin da Gwamna Olayemi Cardoso ya karbi mukamin, tare da sa ran ci gaba da rike wannan matakin a tarurrukan MPC masu zuwa.

Gyare-gyaren Hanyoyin Biya Sun Bayyana Hakikanin Kudaden Aro

Dakatar da hanyoyin biya na CBN (Ways and Means) ya bayyana hakikanin kudaden da gwamnati ke biyan aro. Tare da rufe wannan hanyar samun kudade:

• Lamunin ga gwamnati ya karu da kashi 19.8% cikin shekara guda zuwa Disamba 2024
• Kashi 41% na ajiyar banki har yanzu ana tsare su (27% a cikin ajiyar dole, 12% a cikin takardun CBN)

Amsar Gwamnati: Karfin Zuba Jari Yana Karuwa

Ministan Kudi Wale Edun ya ba da rahoton karuwar sha’awar masu zuba jari a fannonin fasahar sadarwa da na wayar tarho a Najeriya. “Muna kokarin kaiwa girman kashi 7%, kuma ina ganin karfin zuba jari yana karuwa,” in ji Edun, yana mai da hankali kan bukatar zuba jari don habaka yawan samar da kayayyaki da samar da ayyukan yi.

Gwamnan CBN Cardoso ya sake tabbatar da aniyar ci gaba da manufofin kudi na al’ada: “Idan za mu iya ci gaba da wannan hanya, wanda za mu yi, to bayan wani lokaci, farashin kayayyaki zai ragu.”

Don ƙarin bayani, karanta labarin asali akan BusinessDay.